339 AI experts gave four AI benchmark results a 24.6% chance, superforecasters 9.7%

T2Covered by 1 source · first reported by UploadVR / Road to VR / MIXED at 25 Sept, 17:17 UTC

A panel of 339 AI experts gave an average probability of 24.6% to four AI benchmark results that then arrived, and a group of superforecasters gave the same four outcomes 9.7%. The figures come from the Forecasting Research Institute's accuracy review, published on September 23. The four are MATH…